Tonight's Celebrity Big Brother eviction is a surprise to the housemates. They've not even nominated one another in the normal fashion. A nominal group of the Goody "family" - Jade Goody, Jackiey Goody, Jade's Boyfriend Jack Tweedy and their "adopted" family members Shilpa Shetty and Jermaine Jackson are all up for eviction.
In the usual course of events this eviction would be a foregone conclusion. Take a look at the below chart from our most recent survey;
Jackiey Goody is massively
unpopular. Big Brother housemates rarely score higher than 50% of responders saying one particular housemate is their least favourite.
However, tonight's eviction is a vote to SAVE - a positive vote. Positive votes are much more unpredictable. Here's what the same people told us they would do in tonight's vote to save.
Shilpa, Jermaine and Jade all look safe this evening. Jack and Jackie are neck and neck with the least number of votes - (the housemate with the least number of votes to save will be evicted).
Jack's problem is not that he is unpopular, he's simply invisible - rarely even speaking let alone joining in with the other housemates and gaining some support. Tonight's show is likely to feature the omnipresent Jackiey more than silent Jack, so unless some tactical voting materialises (people voting for people other than Jackiey so she has the least votes) - Jack is perhaps slightly more likely to go tonight than Jackiey.
Jack IS a handsome young man - could a few teenage texters swing it for him? Might the public realise that the hated Jackiey might be staying and vote to support Jack - its possible.
We would not be backing Jack to be evicted at current best odds - 1.33 - very poor value.
We have a small interest in Jackiey at decimal 5s at Coral and Paddy Power (now cut to 3.25 and 4) but we believe that if you are having a bet on tonight's show - (it may be best avoided) the value bet is to back Jackiey to go at the 4s available at Paddy Power and William Hill.
Best, Special Bets.
Current Odds @ 6pm - Click Through For Live Odds