Saturday, November 11, 2006

Your Reactions To Tonight's X Factor Show - Leona Opens Up A Significant Gap;

We've been polling viewer reactions this evening from the end of the live show to time of writing 22.24. We think we have one of the most useful group of people ever - over 50% say they actually vote in the show itself (although not enough yet to be accurate at the bottom end). Results are coming in fast now - we'll update you properly and provide some analysis soon....

Thursday, November 09, 2006

X Factor Poll Of Polls Update

First of all we have to put a big shout out to the boys and girls on the Betfair Forum who have this week been passionately debating the pros and cons of our work.

The Special Bets team is warmed by the fact that even our harshest critics continue to pop in and see us.

Now, back to the shop. Here's our weekly update of the polls out there on the information superhighway:

At the risk of being accused of ramping Leona's price, it's hard not to come to the conclusion that she seems to be stretching her lead ahead of Ben in the polls. We have not indicated that we think Leona will actually win the competition, and the Special bets poll has been one of the more conservative polls when it comes to her showing. For the avoidance of doubt we will provide clear views on the front runner's current prices and our views in future.

Here are the reactions from our polling group to last week's show. Eton Road was your favourite performance;

And they've improved their standing overall, but Leona and Ben are your favourites overall;

So what can we say about this week's elimination? This is where we would like to introduce you to our new toy. It is the "fair odds" calculator that we showed screenshots of last week. An interactive version can be found here. Simply fire it up, input your views on the prejudices of the judges and the likely pecking order, and as if by magic you fair odds will appear. Enjoy!

For those that are looking for suggestions as to what a sensible input model might be, I would like to point them towards Mal's Place, where as always, some excellent analysis on this week's elimination resides.

Finally, I would like to leave you with something a bit different this week. The self proclaimed youtubing "No1 Tipster On The Internet" expressing the emotion of anger through the medium of dance.

"Betfair" is the monicker this tipster uses on He's currently advocating backing Eton Road, and laying Leona and Ben & is very suspicious of our polling. Enjoy.