Friday, January 13, 2006

Thanks To All Who Participated In The Polls Over The last 48 Hours

Jodie Marsh has been evicted with 42% of the vote say Channel 4.

Just before 2pm today, our poll indicated Jodie was in the lead with 40.2% of the vote. Our final reading was a 44.9% leading share reading. This was our first ever eviction poll so we don't think that was too bad an effort. A big thank you to all our poll responders. Apologies to anyone who missed the figures - we had some tech issues. Email us if you did not receive the 2 updates.

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CBB Eviction Poll Results - We Think Pete is Safe - Here's The Data;

Hello All, We've had terrible tech problems this evening so we'll keep it simple;

Asking 142 unique responders over the last 48 hours

Who would you most like to see evicted first from the Celebrity Big Brother House?

The answer was;

George Galloway 40.4%
Pete Burns 14.7%
Jodie Marsh 44.9%

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Special Bets' CBB Eviction Poll Update George and Jodie Close, Pete Burns Looks Safe;

This data is unweighted;

Who would you most like to see evicted first from the Celebrity Big Brother House?

George Galloway 39.1% Pete Burns 20.7% Jodie Marsh 40.2%

This is much closer than the Times Online poll;
George Galloway 38% Pete Burns 18% Jodie Marsh 44%

Let the fun commence!
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Thursday, January 12, 2006

The Special Bets Eviction Poll Is Now Open!

Take 45 seconds out of your day to participate in the Special Bets CBB Eviction Poll Why bother? well, our poll aims to be the most accurate on the web. There's no multiple voting as with all the other polls out there and we promise to email you the survey results in full on Friday evennig before the show- all the data, not just the headlines. We'll even email you tell you how the voting is shifting as the poll progresses Click here to psee the results of the Poll!
Find the best odds available on the first eviction here;

Lib Dem Next Leader Market - a guide and our view.

There were major movements in the prices of Lib Dem leader hopefuls Sir. Menzies 'Ming' Campbell and Simon Hughes yesterday as the markets digested what has been reported as a "disasterous" start from Ming, primarily at 12pm Prime Minister's questions. So what actually happened?

Ming and Hughes were both present on the Lib Dem front bench (Oaten,desperate to kick start his pondering campaign was busy doing TVinterviews) in a knockabout PM Q's session where an on form Blair made easy jokes about the current flux state of the Lib Dem bench.
Blair could hardly conceal his glee as Ming, questioning the PM's progressin education reform asked the question why ""one in five schools do not have a permanent head". Parallels to the Lib Dem party's current state (and Ming) were obvious and the house fell into chaos as Labour and Tory MPs fell about into uproarious laughter. Blair also turned his guns on Hughes and Oaten - asking where "the other one" (Oaten) was.

The press and Campbell's rivals - Hughes, Oaten and now Chris Huhne will be quick to declare that the leadership battle is now "wide open".

What's our view? We're still backing Ming to win this. We do not believe this is Ming's "David Davis" moment - one poorly thought out sentence from a seasoned andeloquent speaker is not the same as a whole awful speech that leaves your own party members cold.

The problem for those that hope Hughes can win is that he is only half as popular as Ming according to yougov's poll of Lib Dem members.

The problem for those who hope Huhne, Oaten or an undeclared such as Ed Davey can win is that none of them are Nick Clegg - described by many as Ming's deputy.

A vote for Davey, Oaten or Huhne means voting against popular Clegg and blocking him for leader for the next decade at least. Nick Clegg, an Orange Booker who many see as the party's future has closely aligned himself with Ming and so is unlikely to need to risk standing against him.

Commons experience is the the only thing many believe former MEP Clegg lacks - a problem that will be swiftly solved by a senior role in the "Ming Administration".

What's Next?

According to today's Telegraph, Simon Hughes, the party president, will announce today at least seven public backers - including Steve Webb, the health spokesman, and PaulHolmes, the parliamentary party chairman - for his leadership bid. Tim Farron will run Hughes’ campaign. Richard Younger-Ross, Annette Brooke, Mark Hunter andPaul Rowen are also "set" to back Hughes.

Mark Oaten, the party’s home affairs spokesman, submitted his nomination papers signed bys even Lib Dem MPs last night, but with mystery surrounding his backers. A fourth potential candidate, Chris Huhne, a Treasury spokesman, received his first public backers when Lynne Featherstone, the MP for Hornsey and Wood Green, and Martin Horwood, the MP for Cheltenham, indicated that they would back him if he stood.

Chris Huhne - David Howarth will run Huhne’s campaign according to the Times with Martin Horwood, StephenWilliams, Lynne Featherston and John Pugh set to back him.expect all the candidates who have names to lodge to do so by close of play Friday, if not Thursday, as they will be keen to speak at at


Who they support? A useful breakdown from the Indie on which MPs support who;
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Wednesday, January 11, 2006

Celebrity Big Brother Poll Jan 8th - 10th- RESULTS;

Results Summary; Here's our summary of the results which is only our opinion of how the data should be treated... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There were many more men than women who responded to our survey which is out of kilter with what we know about Big Brother voters. So, when we weighted the results for sex (63/37%, Female/Male, ages were more or less as they should be) we came up with the following "real world" popularity and unpopularity results;

Favourite Contestant;

1) Pete Burns 22%
2) Preston 18%
3) Chantelle 17%
4) Barrymore 13%
5) Maggot 9%
6) Jodie 7%
7) Rula 4%
8) Dennis 4%
9) Galloway 3%
10) Traci 2%
11) Faria 1%

The first big surprise here to us is the apparent popularity of Pete Burns as a first choice favourite (Pete also scored highly (top) as a second place favourite). One of survey's feeder websites ran a favourable article on Pete which may have had some effect, but he was polling over 18% of the vote and ahead of second place Chantelle for two days prior to that article.

Preston is very popular with female voters (although not as popular as Pete). Pete is much less popular with male voters, who's favourite is Chantelle, followed by Preston.

Interestingly, 41% of voters expect Barrymore to win, but he is the weighted favourite with only 13% of voters - a false front runner?

Email us if you are keen to take part in future surveys. Respondents have received an email with all the data and methodology behind the numbers. Here's the current survey on the first eviction;

Compare first Eviction odds on Celebrity Big Brother here;

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

3 Housemates Nominated For The First Eviction;

This week there are a total of 3 housemates nominated for eviction on Friday: George, Jodie and Pete. George: 09011 32 33 04 Jodie: 09011 32 33 05 Pete: 09011 32 33 08. The votes for nomination in the house were Jodie 8 George 6 Peter 4. Housemates nominate 2 people each so we are unsure as why Pete has been selected given he had the least votes. Viewers can vote to evict a single housemate. The excellent Website The Blue Room has a review of who voted for whom and why;

If you would like to an insight into which of the nominated housemates partipate in our CBB poll and we will send you the results on completion (poll closes tonight)

Use Special Bets to compare Celebrity Big Brother Eviction odds here;