CBB Eviction 3 Poll Update; 7pm Friday

Of the 3 candidates listed, who would you most like to see evicted next from the Celebrity Big Brother house? Maggot 21.5% Traci 34.3% Rula 44.2%

Who do you actually think WILL be evicted from the CBB house?

Maggot 5.8% Traci 53.8% Rula 40.4% View the best CBB odds here;

We're giving up on the idea of Nick Clegg even being a long shot to stand;

His own column in the grauniad must be the final nail in this idea....we have recommended backing Ming with a small insurance bet on Clegg - time to cancel the insurance policy. Lay the available money on betfair to close your position - only go short will money you can afford to lose at these odds - Menzies could get ill, for example....
View the best Lib Dem Leadership odds here;

Sir Menzies (Ming) Campbell vs Simon Hughes - Heads vs Hearts?

There have been a lot of reminders in the press about Simon Hughes' huge amount of grass roots support from Lib Dems members "up and down the country".

• We wonder though whether a good number of those same Lib Dem members fear the "Electoral Wilderness" as much as we think they do and back Ming intead of Simon Hughes anyway?

YouGov published a poll of Lib Dem members ahead of Charles Kennedy's departure (although this was a forward looking survey).

If Mr Kennedy does stand down before the next general election, and these were the candidates to succeed him, whom would you most support?

Sir Menzies (‘Ming’) Campbell 49% Simon Hughes 21% Mark Oaten* 13% Don’t know 16%

*Oaten is perceived as right wing, his former supporters are unlikely to be natural Hughes backers

• Most Libs are worried about Cameron stealing votes;

How serious a challenge do you think the election of David Cameron as Conservative leader poses to the Liberal Democrats?

A very serious challenge 19%

A fairly serious challenge 49%

Not a particularly serious challenge 26%

No challenge at all 4% Don’t know 1 %

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So, - 68% of Lib Dem members in this poll believe David Cameron is a serious challenge to their popularity in the country.

We imagine that many Lib Dem members will vote with their heads vs their hearts.

Simon Hughes' backing of a 50% tax for high earners will concern Lib Dem members.

We think that although many Lib Dem members agree with Hughes' Tax policy (as an example) they will be concerned however that such a policy leaves them in the political wilderness - unable to attract needed votes from Tory voters. Sir Menzies Campbell has stated he will ditch 50p tax for top earners.

Special Bets believes that left-leaning Simon Hughes' courage and straight talking (although rare in a politician) will preclude him from winning his goal of party leader - and looks like being yet another scalp for David Cameron. View the best odds in the Lib Dem leadership election here;

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!

And Our CBB Survey Says....

CBB 3rd Eviction Poll - 9pm Results Update;

Of the 3 candidates listed, who would you most like to see evicted next from the Celebrity Big Brother house?

Maggot 22.2% Traci 34.7% Rula 43.1%


Who do you actually WILL be evicted from the CBB house?

Maggot 4.2% Traci 52.8% Rula 43.1%

So, the perception is that Traci is on her way out, but our polling group say Rula..
We'll keep you posted. Rula is still available to back a 1.9 type prices, Maggot looks safe

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

Lib Dem Leadership race - Oaten To Bow Out After Embarassing Office Gaffe;

This story from the Grauniad is all you need to know. Expect Oaten to announce he's no longer running later today... Oaten's price on betfair should be at least 200s in short order....

Oaten - the poor mans Clegg has only one MP supporting him now says the indie;

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View The Best Odds On Next Lib Dem Leader Here;

Faria's Best Bits;

er... erm....
Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

CBB - Second Eviction Poll - Results Update;

Spoiler for tonight's show;

Here is an update of the most relevant questions;

After 184 responses at 20.49pm this evening;

Who would you most like to see evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother house?

Faria Alam 36.8%
Dennis Rodman 27%
Pete Burns 36.2%

Have you decided who you want to vote to evict or are you still to make up your mind?

Yes I have decided 91.1%
No, I'm still making up my mind 8.9%

Who is your least favourite Celebrity Big Brother contestant?

Faria 8%
Dennis 8%
Pete 16.7%

Who is your favourite Celebrity Big Brother contestant?

Pete Burns 27.7%
Faria Alam 1.2%
Dennis Rodman 4.3%

Our conclusion - if our vote results are correct - is that the edit you'll read on the spoiler we've provided could well tip the balance. We've been backing Faria to go at these generous odds.


Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

Update From Our CBB Second Eviction Poll - Overnight Voting Shows A Swing To Faria;

Another Update From Our CBB Second Eviction Poll;
Our polling group has been responding since Monday am in our second eviction poll of Celebrity Big Brother. In answer to the question;

Who would you most like to see evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother house?

Last night at around the results were.
Faria Alam 31.3% Dennis Rodman 28.9% Pete Burns 39.8%

Overnight however there has been a swing toward Faria, possibly due to Faria's apparent "insult" that the British public will never choose a black or Asian Big Brother winner. Current totals show Faria and Pete neck and neck;

Faria Alam 36.7% Dennis Rodman 26.6% Pete Burns 36.7%

Another poll we follow- The Times - has shown a similar overnight swing (having had Pete far in the lead yesterday evening). They have Dennis 23%, Faria 42%, Pete 35%

Special Bets can report that The News Of The World has not so far reported as to whether "Sneaky" Sven-Goran Eriksson was pleased at the observed swing in the polls;

View the best CBB odds here;

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

CBB Second Eviction Poll - Update - Pete In The Lead To Go;

Another Update From Our CBB Second Eviction Poll; Our polling group has been responding since this morning in our second eviction poll of Celebrity Big Brother. The raw data currently now shows some gaps opemning up;

In answer to the question;

Who would you most like to see evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother house?

Faria Alam 31.3%
Dennis Rodman 28.9%
Pete Burns 39.8%

To participate in the poll (you can't complete it twice) click here;

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

Special Bets CBB Eviction Poll - Results So Far;

Our polling group has been responding since this morning in our second eviction poll of Celebrity Big Brother. The raw data currently show the 3 Celebs nominated for eviction to be very close at this stage.

In answer to the question;

Who would you most like to see evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother house?

Faria Alam 33.9% Dennis Rodman 30.4% Pete Burns 35.7%

To participate in the poll (you can't complete it twice) click here;

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

What's Happened To One Of Lib Dem Leadership Hope Nick Clegg's Websites?

Nick Clegg - working for Sheffield Hallam
This site is temporarily unavailable.Please notify the System Administrator 2

Just a few days ago, it was up and running and looking like this;

Could something have happened for him to suddenly need to change the content?

http://www.nickclegg.org.uk/ has been taken down leaving http://www.nickclegg.org/ which remains open (Hat tip Guido Fawke's Blog)

UPDATE - after this story appearing on a number of Lib Dem blogs the website is now simply "unavailable" - curiouser and curiouser!

Special Bets are stroking our collective beards....

There's only small money available on Betfair currently as 26s for those who may fancy Nick Clegg as a potential runner but these bookies have 34s available;

We still fancy Menzies Campbell as the eventual winner, but are taking some of the 34s available as insurance... We think if he chose to stand, Clegg would beat Hughes and Campbell... watch this space.

What's next?

Tonight - First TV debate: Menzies Campbell, Simon Hughes, Chris Huhne and Mark Oaten were invited to take part in a TV debate on the Sky News channel, on Monday 16th January, 7:00-8:00pm . There were NO notable gaffes or mistakes.. Lib Dem leadership market stays stable....

Michael Barrymore is to be served with civil prosecution papers today at Elstree Studios say the BBC;

Article here; "Special Bets do not believe this will be helpful to Barrymore in his quest to win Celebrity Big Brother"

In related news, the pathologist who carried out the post-mortem on the man found dead in Barrymore's pool has withdrawn from police work and is facing a tribunal over his handling of two murder cases. His verdict over Stuart Lubbock of accidental drowning was in conflict with 3 other pathologists who examined the body and said that marks on Mr Lubbock’s forehead suggested that he had been asphyxiated. Source The Times

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;

Spoiler For Tonight's Celebrity Big Brother;

Posted here;

The "big" news today was that Pete Burns packed his bags and is threatening to leave.. story here; Big Brother appears to have talked Pete out of it for now... he's still there on the live feed..

Bet in the Betfair Betting Exchange. Click here!
View the best CBB odds here;