Thursday, August 17, 2006

Winners Poll Update - 10.00 P.M. Finals Night Eve

Poll Hacking, accusations of poll hacking. red-top media campaigns. rumoured voting leaks, conspiracy theories about smear campaigns from the producers. Don't you know, Phil Collins would say this is a Land of Confusion.

To avoid becoming confused ourselves, we are remaining totally focussed upon the responses to our two surveys that we have running this week. This is what we see:

The first poll we are conducting began at the start of the week and now has 1,185 responses. This is how you tell us you will vote: (click to enlarge)

Aisleyne took the lead in the overall poll on Tuesday night and has maintained her lead since then. This is how she did it, on both an absolute and rolling 60-vote percentage basis:

The above shows that there was a huge dip in support for Pete which occured around the 1000-vote mark of which Aisleyne took full advantage.

Let's pay more attention to more recent voting behaviour. We began our midweek poll on Wednesday afternoon, and this is how things stand after 314 responses:

This is broadly in line with the more recent responses of the poll that has been running all week, which is reassuring.

In terms of multi-voting, this is where the loyalty lies for people who intend to vote more than once:

We thought it would be interesting to gauge voting behaviour towards the most likely final trio; Aisleyne, Glyn and Pete, and this is what you told us:

So, at the risk of making what to some might seem an outrageous conclusion, and incurring the wrath of the vast army of (single voting) Pete fans out there, looking at the above I would suggest that Aisleyne is going to win Big Brother 7.

In order to keep our finger on the pulse, and gauge your views on the highlights show tonight, we will launch our final final winner's poll later on this evening.



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Blogger Alvar Hanso said...

I agree that Aisleyne will win. There is no way that Pete can be more popular than her. I think you're probably the only betting specialists to actually call this correctly!

11:54 PM  
Blogger Admin said...

We're just calling it how we see it. We've really tried hard to be unbiased and accurate. Tomorrow should be an interesting day...

12:16 AM  
Blogger cartelmike said...

What about the Sun's Glyn campaign ? Do you think this will have a large effect ?

10:34 AM  
Blogger thomasthetanker said...

Nervous times indeed, if you're right aboutAsh we'll meet in London and I'm buying the drinks

11:03 AM  
Blogger Admin said...


I do think The Sun's campaign will have some impact. Of course, our database likely contains many Sun readers and we are polling their opinions as well as everyone else.

What I think is going on here is that Endemol (who have a close relationship with The Sun - see their early breaking of nominations etc) have enlisted The Sun to support Pete and Glyn as their vote shares are flagging...

12:58 PM  
Blogger Admin said...

thomasthetanker - thanks... fingers crossed...

12:59 PM  

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