Sunday, August 13, 2006

Winner's Poll Update - Midday Sunday 13th August

This is going to be a long week. In order to help us see "inside" the poll data to identify any shorter-term trends that may be occurring I would like to introduce the "Rolling 60 - Vote Percentage".


The Rolling 60-Vote Percentage displays the percentage vote for a particular housemate based on the most recent 60 votes alone, across the life of the poll. We can see from the chart below that based on the last 60 votes, Aisleyne is currently polling 43.3% which is dwarfing Pete's rolling 60-vote percenta
ge of 23.3%.


So whilst the overall result shown by the darker blue and red lines shows that Pete remains ahead of Aisleyne, the lighter coloured lines show that on a most recent 60-votes basis she has been closing the gap for a while now.

Of course, this could always swing back the other way and Pete could do what nearly 80% of people expect him to do, namely win Big Brother 2006.

However, if the trend does not change, I calculate that our poll will show Aisleyne ahead in overall percentages for the first time this evening at approximatley 7pm.

Keep it here

Statman

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2 Comments:

Anonymous Alf Garnett's PR Guru said...

Hey Statto - are you going to update the rolling 60 sometime soon? Is Ais still catching or fading?

5:43 PM  
Blogger Statman said...

Hi Alf,

Will update it at 7, when I think we'll see that Aisleyne has closed the gap, but not quite caught Pete yet.

Statman

6:28 PM  

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