Winner's Poll Update - 9.30 P.M. Monday 14th August
Aisleyne continues to poll slightly better than Pete in more recent voting, which is summed up quite nicely in the table below:
Can Aisleyne close the gap before Friday? The last time I made a prediction it failed to come true, hence I will simply say that it is obviously possible so long as she maintains these sorts of voting levels from here on in.
I also personally find it useful to look at the Probability of Leading. This is a statistic which aims to measure how likely is it that Pete is actually leading the voting in the general population, given the results of our poll.
The Probability of Pete Leading right now turns out to be 80%, with Aisleyne making up the complimentary 20%. Hence the theoretical "fair price" odds for Pete winning the actual vote right now is 1.26, and Aisleyne 4.9.
Of course, the Probability of Leading will change should the underlying data trends change.
For consistency, here is the updated chart showing Rolling 60-vote percentages (clicky for bigger)
special bets specialbets big brother reality tv betting odds eviction bet pete davina aisleyne vote big brother polls who goes? eviction % prediction
Find the best prices on Big Brother with Special Bets' Odds Comparison Site