Tuesday, August 01, 2006

11th Eviction Survey Update: Weds 11pm - Bye Bye Mikey?


Since we saw The Sun leak that Imogen, Mikey, Jennie and Suzie were up for eviction first thing yesterday morning we have been asking our increasingly accurate polling group who they would like to see go this week. It’s closer than some might think.

Of the 432 respondents so far, this is who you would like to see leave on Friday:

Removing responders who said they would not vote the group says;

Mikey 49%, Susie, 32.4%, Imogen 8.7%, Jennie 8.7%
(1.3% contradicted themselves)

Of those who said at least they would "probably", "most likely" or "definitely" vote in Friday's eviction the results were;

Mikey 56.6%, Susie 26.9%, Imogen 9%, Jennie 7.1%
(0.5% contradicted themselves)


We noticed that Mikey’s abusive antics towards Susie last week did him no favours whatsoever, and turned him into a serious contender for least liked housemate. Surely the guy will keep his head down now and try and sneak into the final week??



It doesn’t look like it…

Live feed fans will know that he turned his guns on both Imogen and Jennie yesterday. These arguments are headlines on the Channel 4 website and are to be featured in tonight’s highlights show, giving the anti-Mikey crew more ammunition.

As a reminder – here’s the emotional view from the negative angle for the four housemates in question according to our special survey:


Could Mikey be becoming too spikey to likey? We think so…


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17 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Best graph yet Stat

Very clear, no obstructions

1.5 on Mickey on a probable 50/50?
Plus he's got 2 days to redeem himself.
Reckon its time for Suze last cup of tea...
thomasthetanker

11:33 AM  
Blogger Statman said...

Thanks tanker,

It was your request for a histogram that inspired me, glad you find it useful.

We have updated our figures this morning..do you still think it's 50/50?

Statman

12:27 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Maybe 60/40
I certainly wouldn't lump on Mickey at 1.5
Looking at July 30th view as this is how it might be if people stop craving the smell of burnt witch.

Mickeys Hate 18.8%
Suze 22%

Mickeys Love 1.4%
Suzes Love - Pass me that electron microscope...

ttt

1:40 PM  
Blogger Statman said...

ttt,

You can't ignore the 26.4% Aisleyne haters from the July 30 poll. They are playing a large part in deciding who goes this week.

Plus Mikey's profile has deteriorated immensely since his bust up (no pun intended) with Susie.

What evidence would it take for you to lump on Mikey? Are you just waiting for a better price? It may happen...but I'm concerned you may miss out this week.

Statman.

1:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I lumped on Mickey at 5 and traded 1.8 so wished I'd waited a bit.

Can't stand the bloke but I reckon 2 days, a kiss and a cuddle with Imogen and a 'its this place that gets to yous soomtimes' speech, we'll see

Sorry not following you on the Ains hate chooses this week evict viewpoint
ttt

2:15 PM  
Blogger Statman said...

ttt,

Ok so you're waiting for a better price. Well good luck - my feeling is that we will see an attempt to ramp Susie again at some point and at that point you may well get to revese your lay at 1.8.

My point about Aisleyne haters is that they are 26% of the voters, and they can't vote for their anti-hero this week, so where will their votes go?

It looks to me from the poll like their heading Mikey's way.

2:51 PM  
Anonymous balsamic said...

This has been a fantastic eviction so far with flip-flops a-plenty. I've plumped myself on the 'Susie will go' side of the see-saw for now. Mikey looks a good lay at 1.39, and may be an even better lay during tonight's show. I have a gut feeling he won't get much lower during the week.
Mikey knows he's up now and I don't believe we'll see much fighting on the thurs/fri highlight shows. Susie on the other hand sounds bored and flippant today, and baiting the taffs isn't really a good idea during a public vote (although it's ok at any other time, obv). I can see the momentum switching again at some time on thursday, but will it be enough to save Mikey?
That popbitch rumour about the Express signing-up Susie's ex to spill the beans on her call-girl antics sounds interesting if true (I think it's still on the page) and could have an impact if they run it on friday.
Lastly, I can see this contest being one of those in which the internet polls are a little out-of-synch with the real world (technically known as a 'Barrymore' I believe). Gut feeling again.
Whatever happens this has been one of the best eviction markets I've seen. Shame it had to happen so late in the day.

8:30 PM  
Blogger Admin said...

"Lastly, I can see this contest being one of those in which the internet polls are a little out-of-synch with the real world (technically known as a 'Barrymore' I believe)"

*Shudders*
Barrymore almost winning CBB haunts me to this day.

Thanks for the popbitch tip..will look into it.

12:30 AM  
Anonymous Superstar tipster said...

Can we have an update on the eviction poll please.

9:40 AM  
Blogger Admin said...

Hi Superstar - not looking good for Mikey - 59.6% unfilterd/unchecked... will have a proper look in a bit.

3:14 PM  
Anonymous superstar tipster said...

My tip is to wait until after 7PM to place your bets today because there are going to be plenty of people opposing the percentage being over 50% because alot of the online polls are predicting lower. So you'll probably get the best value if you are patient.

4:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And the next person to leave the Big Brother house with 49.99999999%... its Mikey

ttt

5:56 PM  
Blogger Admin said...

Ha! hope not!!! :) Have had a go at the over 50% :)

6:27 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Think you might be holding water.
With all shenanigans of today maybe fewer votes as people are waiting for next evict or vote Nikki or whatevers happening. So if people hold off, most of Mikeys damage is already done and over 50% is possible.
ttt

6:42 PM  
Blogger Admin said...

That crossed my mind as well thomas. The edit tonight is pretty neutral now as well...

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