CBB Polls Update: The Vultures Begin To Circle..

Before "mum" Carole had even finished her eviction interview on Friday night, the kids back in the house were already playing up. We're not really sure what the fracas was about, and neither were the participants, but one thing that we can be sure about is the viewing public's reaction.


We conducted a poll over the weekend which displayed a remarkable concentration of dislike directed towards Jade, Danielle and Shilpa, which seems to be a direct consequence of their eviction night brawl. The only other housemate that receives any negative attention is Jack. Having promised to "come out of his shell" last week, his "shell" turned out to be not the only thing he was to come out of - whilst the other housemates lay awake around him. Not a great vote winner that. (Meanwhile he keeps refering to Shilpa as a w***er? Irony that would make Shakespeare proud..)

Here are the numbers:



The real interesting disliked housemate is Shilpa - the reason being that she also features heavily in the "most liked" housemate question:


We have seen this sort of "polarising" housemate before - that is, they have both a significant like and dislike reading in the polls. Nikki Graham and Pete Burns both exhibited such a profile, and whilst they were certainly "characters", their critics got to them before the end of the show.
We would suggest that unless Shilpa can somehow convince those that dislike her otherwise, then she is going to have trouble should she find herself up against a "non-disliked" celebrity in an eviction later on in the show.

A simple but interesting take on this is to subtract the dislikers from the likers, something which we have done here:

A very respectable second place for Shilpa, yet her dislike rating sticks out like, well, like it's ten times as large as that of other well-liked housemates.

Once again, the momentum chart throws up a few interesting points:

Shilpa certainly has the wind behind her back at the moment, with her main competition Cleo remaining static, and support for Dirk taking a slight dip. Jermaine is benefitting from his increased exposure on the show, however support levels remain too low for him to mount a serious challenge.

One more chart worth looking at - the general polling landscape:


In summary, Shilpa has garnered enough support over the past couple of days to make her the viewers favourite housemate, and this has been reflected in the betting markets with her odds contracting. However, we find it very difficult to back her here on the basis of the dislike documented above. Until this negative sentiment abates, she will be vulnerable to both nomination within the house, and eviction against a less disliked housemate.

Best

Statman