Nikki II – She's Back! And This Time It's (Slightly) Different!!
Grease, Back to the Future, Lethal Weapon, Predator, TeenWolf, Speed, Saturday Night Fever, Karate Kid, Gremlins, Police Academy, Crocodile Dundee, the list of sequels which did nothing other than tarnish the standing of the original seems to go on and on. There was even a Dirty Dancing II, which not many people know about. Why don’t people know about it? Because it went straight to video. Why did it go straight to video? Because it was rubbish.
Based on this evidence, the likelihood is that “Nikki II” is not going to be as good as the original, and may even damage any credibility that she had in the first place.
Fortunately, I don’t have to speculate as to whether this will be the case or not because once again I have the privilege of access to the 333 responses to our most recent special survey on how you feel about the remaining, and returning, housemates.
Firstly, let’s take a look at how sequel-hungry you are about the returning housemate:
Already it’s not looking good for our generic "former housemate" – over 50% of you think it is not "morally correct " for a housemate to be evicted and then come back and beat a housemate that has been there for the duration.
This is also reflected in the rankings - whilst 37% of you say you love your favourite ex housemate, only 18% of you would hand them the trophy should they get back in - with 21% of you actually ranking them last behind all remaining housemates.
Let’s dig a little deeper into what may happen to the votes in the final week if Nikki should return on Friday. Here’s a chart which sums it up quite nicely:
Some observers may be surprised that Nikki is having such a small impact on the current voting landscape. However, given that 50% of voters have Nikki as their favourite ex-housemate, and only 22% of Nikki fans say they will vote for her on finals night, it makes sense that this leaves her with around a 11% (50% x 22%) overall voting figure. The reason the figure in the graph is slightly less than this is because a small amount of respondents contradicted themselves by saying they would vote for Nikki to win, and then did not rank her in first place in a subsequent question.
Remember, this analysis assumes Nikki has already made it into the main house, which is not (quite) a done deal just yet. I feel that the odds are stacked in her favour to get back in, however I would suggest that any speculative betting on her winning the competition on this event would be an excellent opportunity to lay her in both the outright and "without Pete" markets on Betfair.
At the risk of sounding lonely, please let me know your thoughts on the above.
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