Final Results Of The Special Bets 7th Eviction Poll;
Well this won't be much of a surprise to you as to who we think is going tonight.
For the 7th time in a row the Friday eviction seems obvious (at least in terms of who will be leaving tonight).
Of 740 unique responders, 87% of you think that Lea will be evicted tonight.
Asking all responders; Who would you most like to see evicted from the Big Brother House? We get a figure of 73.2% for Lea.
When we weight the same question toward those who are most likely to vote, we come up with a figure of 75.5% for Lea.
Other online polls have Lea's % much lower - Big Brother Online has Lea with only 65% currently - and this is reflected in the evicted % market on Betfair.
We're not sure why we're so much higher - It will be interesting to see the final figures.
Best, Special Bets.
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posted by admin@specialbets.com at 7/07/2006 07:21:00 PM
7 Comments:
There is a late swing towards Richard being evicted I predict the vote will be well under 70% maybe 63%.
And finally, Lea only got 53% of the vote so it was VERY close!
Hi Anonymous! Where did you observe evidence of the late swing?
The edit was very sympathetic toward Lea we thought, but the magnitude of the swing was surprising to us - we're going to try to do some analysis.
We're happy that the poll we conducted was an accurate reflection of the situation at time of writing.
Another one responder one vote email poll - reality TV - had almost the same figures as us.
The swing last night was dramatic and occurred in the last hour!
Maybe Richard supporters thought he was safe and less voted. There were a lot of people against Lea on the digitalspy forum so maybe people reading sites like this got complacent.
Complacency was definitely reflected in the results we had from the survey group. Taking the members of the group that said they would like Lea to go most, 97.2% of them thought Lea would go - which may have reduced their propensity to vote during the show.
PS - you can post a name without registering with Blogger - It helps to know who we're speaking with Mr. or Mrs. Anonymous :)
Here are some links that I believe will be interested
Keep up the good work. thnx!
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