Thursday, November 16, 2006

X Factor and I'm A Celebrity Updates

It's getting very busy in Reality TV world. Firstly, as usual, we're going to take a look at the polling landscape for the remaining six contestants battling it out in the X Factor.

Leona continues to stretch her already impressive lead by taking votes from her two closest rivals. Elsewhere, Robert jumps to the top of the danger zone after his well received performance last week, whilst Ray and the MacDonald Brothers pick up slightly, but remain perilously close to the bottom.

However, as we have seen every week - there's something fillet o'fishy going on with those canny lads from Ayr when it comes to their hard-core fanbase not showing up in the polls.

As we have with weeks gone by, we'll assume that Leonna, Ben and Eton Road are going to be safe from the bottom two on Saturday night. The fair odds calculator that we posted last week here can be used again this week, just set the odds of Nikitta being in the final two as close to zero as you can!

With Robert having the wind behind him both in the polls and quality of performance, it does seem to come down to the question of whether the Macdonalds fans can out-vote those of Ray. They did so last week, but if Ray does find himself in the bottom two again, he'll need to be joined by the MacDonalds so that Simon can save him. Any other scenario, and Louis will most likely get his way and shoot the "one-trick pony".

Now over to the jungle...

The good people over at have published their initial reaction poll, and it looks a lot like the one we published earlier in the week, with Myleene comfortably in the lead:

Myleene Klass 32%
Jason Donovan 16%
David Gest 16%
Toby Anstis 14%
Lauren Booth 7%
Matt Willis 5%
Jan Leeming 4%
Scott Henshall 2%
Phina Oruche 2%
Faith Brown 2%

One interesting difference is the strong showing from David Gest, who was by far the least popular contestant according to our initial poll.

Always keen to keep our finger on the pulse we started another ongoing poll last night aimed at capturing any change in sentiment after the first couple of shows. This poll is picking up a warming to Mr Guest, probably reflecting good performances in the challenges and him being one of the livelier members of the group.

A question we have been asked about our initial poll is about the male/female split of responses, and whether there are any differences between the preferences of the genders. Interestingly (and maybe predictably) there was. It would appear that for some reason,
we can't think why, Myleene is a little more popular with the boys than she is with the girls. When we filter for males, she scores 41%, whilst filtering for females this drops to 22%. Adjusting our initial poll to reflect the usual gender split for voters of Reality TV shows, this reduces Myleene's lead, however she is still comfortably ahead of Jason.

We will release the results of the ongoing poll shortly..




Anonymous Nick Edwards said...

I bet you ANYTHING though, that Myleene is more popular with the GAY male voters, than the STRAIGHT male voters, despite your 'I can't think why' comments...

Straight men tend to vote for men to win reality shows; women tend to vote for men to win reality shows...

It's only really gay men who always seem to have a loyalty to female contestants. If you could get sexuality into your polling, I bet I could prove that... ;)

12:56 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

On what basis can you prove that straight men tend to vote for men?

How did that mad bird Kerry win before if women and men tend to vote for men? Have we got a very large population of closest homo's?

Most straight men i know, don't vote. And most gay men are probably too busy sucking cock to dial.

I do agree that Statman needs to clarify the issue of gender voting in relation to TV shows and the demographics per show also need to be looked at.

As a straight male I will watch Xfactor, take a neutral view on Im a celebrity but I find Stictly come dancing just too gay.

Only by understanding the true demographics will it be possible to truly analyse the figures accurately.

Statman, what are your thoughts? I notice that you dont post on Strictly come dancing and therefore are most likely a straight male.


6:02 PM  
Anonymous Nick Edwards said...

Oh sweet JESUS... I thought my comments were tending towards generalisation but 'And most gay men are probably too busy sucking cock to dial' is not only generalising but COMPLETELY AND UTTERLY OFFENSIVE.

I'm going by my knowledge of shows like this, just from knowing a lot of straight men, straight women, gay men and gay women. Apparently, you have no gay friends if you assumed they all 'suck cock' all the time.

What a completely idiotic statement.

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