Wednesday, January 25, 2006

Updated Results Of The Celebrity Big Brother Double Eviction Poll;


Special Bets have been polling 350 members of our Survey group since Sunday's eviction announcement.
Here are our predictions for tonight's double eviction, we will
have a go at trying to get the final percentages right before 
9pm.


Eviction 4

George Galloway will be the 4th housemate evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother House.
George will be evict
ed with 53% of the vote. Dennis Rodman will be in second place with
29%, Chantelle Houghton will be in third with 18%. Viewers will likely not be made aware
of Chantelle and Dennis's actual percentages. Davina may say that the vote is "close" or
that the remaining housemates are "within 11%" of each other.

Eviction 5

Dennis Rodman will be the 5th housemate evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother House.
When George Galloway's votes are removed from the total
, Dennis will have 62% of the
remaining eviction votes, Chantelle 38%. Dennis's lead will extend as the phones are
opened up again for voting. Our estimate for Dennis' final eviction % is 65%


Why will this be so?

The viewers will perceive that Chantelle and Dennis are in danger of eviction.

Chantelle is a more popular favourite than Dennis

5
9.9% of viewers polled like Chantelle the most of Wednesday's nominated 3 eviction
candidates,
only 32.8% of viewers polled liked Dennis the most. Chantelle's supporters
will vote and create more eviction votes for Dennis than Dennis' supporters will create
for Chantelle.

Chantelle Has A Considerable Fan Base

In Special Bets' 3rd eviction poll, Chantelle was the first favourite of 32% of those polled.
She was the second favourite of 20.1% of those polled. Chantelle has a considerable fan base.
In the same poll Dennis Rodman was the first favourite of only 6.7% of those polled and the
second favourite of 15.1%.

George Galloway's Voters Are Apt to Vote for Dennis

In our poll,of those that voted for George Galloway and voted twice, 77% said they would also
vote for Dennis vs only 23% for Chantelle. When George Galloway is evicted in the 4th eviction,
those voters that elect to vote again will mainly vote for Dennis.

Dennis Rodman will be evicted with as much as 75% of the remaining vote.The % will depend on
the amount of time that is a
llocated by Channel 4 to the second period of voting.

Demographic Information

At time of writing, 360 members of our survey group had responded.
60.1% of the polling group were female.
The most common age group was 30-39 (32.9%). Ages ranged fro
m 11
years old to 72!

For any questions or feedback on the poll, please use the comments
section or email Special Bets at specialbetsadmin-polls@yahoo.co.uk

View The Best Celebrity Big Brother Odds Here;




5 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excellent analysis. Bet you 50p that you backed Chantelle from the start too.

3:45 AM  
Blogger Admin said...

Backed her before the "who's the most famous" charade then covered her after..

Only got back on again after seeing her popularity in the first poll we did!

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